Thursday, August 30, 2018

WHY SHOULD I SAVE MONEY?

Well Wishers, 
My 1st attempt at writing in KANNADA was successful due to your wishes. 
The same was published in the magazine PROFIT PLUS
Lots of non-Kannada people wanted a translation and here it goes. 

Hope you like the article. 





Ask any financial planner, the first thing he tells you is INCOME minus Savings should be your SPENDING
 Which obviously means the focus on SAVING
The question comes WHY SHOULD WE SAVE MONEY?
Why?
Let me enjoy LIFE now....who knows what’s in the future?
That’s exactly my point.
No one knows what lies ahead in the future.
You may lose your job, your income....the income/salary may not be enough, and many such reasons.
Let’s find each one by one
1. INFLATION

The Bigger reason is the SILENT KILLER called Inflation. The value of our money keeps decreasing day by day. The Rs.100 you had last year is not worth the same today. Ex: Fruits, Vegetables, Clothes which were available at a certain price is definitely not as same as last year and has increased.

A kilo of Apple, for example, which was Rs.100 last year, is now Rs.110 which means the price has gone by 10% and your income if it hasn’t grown that much will mean that you are becoming poorer and poorer slowly. Hence you NEED TO SAVE MONEY
http://www.goodfundsadvisor.in/2018/05/beware-of-lifestyle-inflation.html


http:/http://https://t.me/MutualFundWORLD/

2. EMERGENCY BACK UP


There could be a situation where in you may lose your job and may not find a similar salary paying job immediately. It may take anywhere between 1 month to 3 months to get a job and during this interval, you cannot ignore your Food, Gas Bill, Rent and HAVE to pay. An Emergency Backup will help you cope with such a situation and hence YOU NEED TO SAVE MONEY.

http://www.goodfundsadvisor.in/2017/05/why-liquid-funds-when-to-use-them.html






3. BUYING A CAR/ A DREAM HOME



Everyone dreams of a BETTER LIFE. To upgrade your vehicle from an Activa to a Car or to move from your Rented House to Your OWN House...you NEED TO SAVE MONEY

https://www.goodfundsadvisor.in/2016/11/read-this-before-buying-car.html

https://www.goodfundsadvisor.in/2015/10/do-you-really-need-own-car.html


4. MARRIAGE & KIDS EDUCATION

A marriage in the house requires HUGE Money and so does the Education (especially Higher Education) which can create HUGE HOLE in your Wealth.
Many families consider celebrating a GRAND Marriage as a PRESTIGE ISSUE and do not shy away from taking a Loan.
To avoid taking LOAN (or at least take a lesser loan) YOU NEED TO SAVE MONEY
 

5. RETIREMENT

Post retirement, you cannot depend on PENSION money (and if you are in a Private Company even this is not available) and most importantly the EXPENSES will not stop.
Pension Amount, if any, will not grow as fast as Inflation ultimately leaving you at the mercy of your children. 



Expenses does not become ZERO once you retire....It will get reduced for sure but expenses will be there and unavoidably, it will only GROW. To provide for these expenses YOU NEED TO SAVE MONEY’


6. HEALTH

During times of Medical emergencies, a HEALTH INSURANCE would of great help but not all diseases are covered by Health Insurance policy and small diseases like a Fever need to be supported by your money. 
And, God Forbid, if for some reason, your Health Insurance Company rejects your claim, your entire LifeTime Savings could go for a toss. 
Its always better to have a Health Insurance, an Emergency Fund and of course, SAVE MONEY!!
And of course, to have a GOOD LIFE and most importantly, HAVING PEACE OF MIND!!
Thus, dear readers, it is inevitable for you to SAVE MONEY to continue enjoying life long after your salary stops coming.
 

Request all my Kannada readers to consider subscribing to the magazine PROFIT PLUS....it should be very beneficial. I have attached the Subscription details



Also visit http:/http://https://t.me/MutualFundWORLD/

Tuesday, July 31, 2018

MARKETS AT ALL TIME HIGH BUT MY MUTUAL FUND NAVs IS DOWN!!


Whenever there is a sustained FALL in Markets...almost all Advisors start getting calls/mails from their investors.
Thankfully, due to constant mentoring and education, the regular sharing and mentoring is to ehlp my investors face periods of negative returns. 
99% of my investors understand the POWER OF COMPOUNDING is via LONG TERM and Volatility is a part and parcel of the Investment Cycle
However, some 1% of my investors (almost all NEW, who recently started investment through me) start showing their FEARs and ask for my guidance.

Here is one of my NEWER investors who started investing less than a year back and obviously needs lot of HAND-HOLDING.
He sent a screenshot of his investment and expressed his concern at the FALL.
Natural reaction and very understandable.


Here is my reply to him





Dear Investor,
I completely understand your concern on the fall in your Portfolio.
Nobody likes to see their portfolio going DOWN but its essential to remember that these are NOTIONAL LOSS. 
Though I keep communicating over Whatsapp, Facebook, Twitter, Email...still there this input is to instill more confidence about the Wealth Creation via Equity Mutual Funds

Face the Right Direction, and Keep Walking
“If we are facing in the right direction, all we have to do is keep on walking,” goes a Buddhist proverb.

So, when the Direction is right....in this case...our Direction is Wealth Creation and our vehicle also right...that is the EQUITY MUTUAL FUNDS...then there is absolutely no need to keep looking at the NAV on a daily or even a Weekly basis.

Sometimes it makes great sense to be like an Ostrich and ignore the noise all around.
I will be like a SWAN and ensure that you invest only in the RIGHT funds.....Funds that suit your profile and horizon.


The October 2017 circular which required grouping their Schemes under Specified Categories like Large Cap, Mid Cap, etc based on Market cap of the underlying stocks called the CATEGORISATION & RATIONALISATION OF MUTUAL FUND SCHEMES took the wind out of Midcap/Small Cap Rally.
Not just that...it resulted in a near CARNAGE as Fund after Fund dumped all their non-Large Cap holdings and increasing their exposure to Large Caps
Of course, the SEBI circular only acted as a trigger for the sell off as almost the entire Midcap and Small Cap space was extremely overvalued.
So....boom....the Large Cap Funds went UP
So....it is clearly evident with these numbers
FROM JAN 2018 TO JULY 2018...
Sensex UP by 10%
Large Cap Index UP by 6%
Mid Cap Index DOWN by 11%
Small Cap Index DOWN by 14%
 
Even in Sensex/Nifty, the Rise has been restricted to largely only 5 stocks. It has been that CONCENTRATED! 

When the variation is so drastic....there WILL be variation in your Funds and the Sensex
Your fund will not be mirroring the Sensex ...right??
Our Funds are neither in Sensex or Nifty!! Nor do our funds any significant stocks which make up the Sensex/Nifty and its neither a surprise nor a shock that your Mutual Fund NAV is down and down quite significantly.

The Sensex had a BIG RALLY from 3000 levels to 21000 levels between 2003-2007. However, the rise was not at all linear.
The Sensex fell more than 10% for 13 times in this period and out of which 1 time it was a 23% fall and another time it was a 29% fall.
Just imagine if you had WITHDRAWAN your money from the Markets when these fall happened.
You would have missed the 700% RISE for panicking after a 10% fall!
These falls of 10% are an opportunity to invest rather than getting panicky. And, you as an Accumulator for funds should actually be HAPPY if the NAV is coming down.






BUT WHAT IF THIS BECOMES A REPEAT OF 2008 FALL?
Very valid question and quite understandable.  NO one has the answer for this.
In the last 10&half years, the market has moved UP by only 77% compared to the 700% rise in the 2003-2007 Bull Run. My interaction with Fellow Advisors, Fund Managers and my experience says that the 2008 Fall WILL NEVER get repeated as at that time the Markets had rallied ABNORMALLY.
Still, if it happens, Markets would have reached Bubble stage and could be easily identifiable and I will definitely GUIDE AND HELP you to protect your Wealth.  RELAX!!

And, of course people talk about 2008 fall of 52% plus but no one talks about the BOUNCE BACK OF 81% the following year in 2009!!!









SO, WHAT SHOULD I DO NOW?
The Midcap Fall and the Small Cap Fall does not mean that these companies are selling lesser number of Soaps, lesser number of Clothes.
Focussing on Businesses instead of Stock Prices and NAVs is a good thing, especially in Bearish Times. 
Focus on the BIGGER PICTURE....Your Goals. 
When Situations Change, nobody knows how to respond. Thankfully, being in Equities for the last 27 years has helped me understand how to respond to this type of situation exactly as this happened many number of times in my professional career.  
STOPPING Your SIPs at this point of time would nothing short of a Disaster. It will hamper your Wealth Creation Hugely.

Yes....I AM BAISED towards SIPs. But there is no other EFFECTIVE method of investing in Equity Markets which has the capability to deliver you ABOVE AVERAGE RETURNS.
And, my dear friend, SIPs are actually more BENEFICIAL IN A DOWNWARD MARKET than in a Upward Market.

Stopping Sip and worse, REDEEMING at this point of time will only convert temporary Notional Loss into a PERMANENT REAL LOSS! 

Firstly, understand why you had invested in the particular fund.....
Does it still make sense to continue?
Has my Asset Allocation altered?
Have my goals been reasonably provided for?
Are my goals still far off?
The change is a fundamental change to the fund but not to your GOALS.
If your goals are still far away...it still makes sense to continue to stay invested (and in fact, add more) Small Cap and Mid Caps.
The History has proved time and again that Midcaps and Small Caps have given GREATER returns than Large Caps.
The volatility will only increase in the NAVs from here on.
But, you need to think LONG TERM and worry least about the fluctuations.

These fluctuations and falls of 10% plus are actually a great time to INCREASE your Equity Exposure if your Goals and Asset Allocation allows you to.
As your well-wisher, I would ensure that you stay the course and get out of this Temporary Blip without you suffering a stroke and create REAL WEALTH.
If your goals are quite far...CONTINUE to STAY INVESTED.
If your finances allow, do SIP TOP-UP and even consider investing a One Time Lumpsum.




And, finally, at the cost of repeating, let me reiterate....
1.       Fluctuations are inevitable and is a part and parcel of Equities as with any other Business2.       Equities is NOT for Short Term. Never Was. Never will be3.       Positive Growth is a Given. Equities have outperformed all other Asset Classes by a Reasonable Margin consistently. The only problem is the accompanying FLUCTUATIONS. You have to Bear with it.
4.       Constantly looking at your NAVs on a daily/weekly basis will not make the NAVs go Up but your BP will definitely go UP for sure.....Avoid looking at the same on a day to day basis5.       Stick to Asset Allocation. Stick to Good Quality Funds. Invest with a Goal in Mind and in Funds which align to your Goal.
6.       Dont listen to CNBC/ET NOW experts. It will only make you nervous.
7.       Treat the Falls as an Opportunities to buy more units of Good Quality Funds at Lower Rates and reduce your Overall Cost of Purchase
8.       Continue to have a Advisor who will Hand Hold till you reach your Goal.

9. No Pain No Gain is definitely true for Wealth Creation, especially Equities. 
10. Falls are an Opportunity. Profit from it. In fact, you should pray for the Markets to fall if your Goals are far. 


   Equity is not to get rich fast. It is just that equity compounds wealth at a higher rate than other assets. Be ready to get rich slowly.

Also go through some of my previous articles on this Fluctuation Subject which I have dealt with
https://www.goodfundsadvisor.in/search?q=fall
https://www.goodfundsadvisor.in/search?q=fall
http:/http://https://www.goodfundsadvisor.in/search?q=fall/
Video on PITFALLS OF SIP SHORTAGE https://bit.ly/2vn6Ll3 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXkbkID12UI http:/http://https://https://https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXkbkID12UI/


 

Best of luck,
Srikanth Matrubai
SriKavi Wealth





Also visit http:/http://https://t.me/MutualFundWORLD/

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